YAR:EURONEXT OSLOYara International ASA Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
NOK 499.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Yara International is trading at NOK 499, just below its 52‑week high of NOK 501 and comfortably above its 20‑day (≈473), 50‑day (≈447) and 200‑day (≈394) simple moving averages, indicating a strong bullish trend. The RSI of 71 points to an overbought condition, while a bullish MACD (line 14.5 above signal 13.5) and increasing volume support continued upward momentum, with the next technical hurdle at the resistance around NOK 501 and support near NOK 440.5.
Fundamentally, Yara delivers solid top‑line growth of roughly 16% YoY and a low trailing P/E of 9.7×, but a discounted DCF fair‑value estimate suggests the market price is about 11% above intrinsic value. The company boasts a generous 4.46% dividend yield backed by a modest 9% payout ratio, healthy operating cash flow, and a manageable debt‑to‑equity around 48%. Analyst consensus (18 estimates) targets a mean price near NOK 444, resulting in a “hold” recommendation despite the current overvaluation.
Fundamentally, Yara delivers solid top‑line growth of roughly 16% YoY and a low trailing P/E of 9.7×, but a discounted DCF fair‑value estimate suggests the market price is about 11% above intrinsic value. The company boasts a generous 4.46% dividend yield backed by a modest 9% payout ratio, healthy operating cash flow, and a manageable debt‑to‑equity around 48%. Analyst consensus (18 estimates) targets a mean price near NOK 444, resulting in a “hold” recommendation despite the current overvaluation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance at NOK 501
- High RSI indicating potential short‑term pullback
- Bullish MACD and rising volume supporting continued strength
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Valuation gap of ~11% above DCF fair value
- Strong dividend yield with low payout ratio
- Sustained revenue growth and diversified geographic exposure
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Robust cash generation and dividend sustainability
- Growth opportunities in digital agri‑tech solutions
- Global diversification offsetting regional regulatory pressures
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.10%
Profit Margin8.76%
P/E Ratio9.7
ROE17.41%
ROA6.12%
Debt/Equity47.86
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash FlowNOK1.9B
Free Cash FlowNOK510.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI71.1
SupportNOK 440.50
ResistanceNOK 501.00
MA 20NOK 473.89
MA 50NOK 446.88
MA 200NOK 394.29
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.7
Valuation
Fair ValueNOK 41.62
Target PriceNOK 443.92
Upside/Downside-11.04%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield4.46%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.18
Volatility18.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.